Showing posts with label swing trading. Show all posts
Showing posts with label swing trading. Show all posts

Sunday, 11 August 2019

Day Trading vs Swing Trading

The time frame on which a trader opts to trade can have a significant impact on trading strategy and profitability. Day traders open and close multiple positions within a single day, while swing traders take trades that last multiple days, weeks or even months. These two different trading styles can suit various traders depending on the amount of capital available, time availability, psychology and the market being traded.

One trading style isn't better than another and it really comes down to which style suits a trader's personal circumstances. Some traders opt to do one or the other, while others may be day traders, swing traders, and buy-and-hold investors all at once.

Day Trading Versus Swing Trading: Potential Returns
Day trading attracts traders looking for rapid compounding of returns. Assume a trader risks 0.5 percent of her capital on each trade. If she loses, she'll lose 0.5 percent, but if she wins she'll make 1 percent (2:1 reward-to-risk ratio).

Also, assume she wins 50 percent of her trades. If she makes six trades per day, on average, she will be adding about 1.5 percent to her account balance each day, less trading fees. Making even 1 percent a day would grow a trading account by more than 200 percent over the course of the year, uncompounded.

On the flip side, while the numbers seem easy to replicate for huge returns, nothing's ever that easy. Making twice as much on winners as you lost on losers, while also winning 50 percent of all the trades you take, doesn't come easily. You can make quick gains, but you can also rapidly deplete your trading account through day trading.

Swing trading accumulates gains and losses more slowly than day trading, but you can still have certain swing trades that quickly result in big gains or losses. Assume a swing trader uses the same risk management rule and risks 0.5 percent of his capital on each trade with a goal of trying to make 1 percent to 2 percent on his winning trades.

Assume he earns 1.5 percent on average for winning trades, losing 0.5 percent on losing trades. He makes six trades per month and wins 50 percent of those trades. In a typical month, the swing trader could make 3 percent on his account balance, less fees. Over the course of the year, that comes out to about 36 percent, which sounds good but offers less potential than a day trader's possible earnings.

These example scenarios serve to illustrate the distinction between the two trading styles. Altering the percentage of trades won, the average win compared to average loss, or the number of trades, will drastically affect a strategy's earning potential.
As a general rule, day trading has more profit potential, at least on smaller accounts. As the size of the account grows it becomes harder and harder to effectively utilize all the capital on very short-term day trades.

Day traders may find their percentage returns decline the more capital they have. Their dollar returns may still go up, since making 5 percent on $1 million equates to much more than 20 percent on $100,000. Swing traders have less chance of this happening.

Varying Capital Requirements
Capital requirements vary according to the market being trading. Day trading and swing traders can start with differing amounts of capital depending on whether they trade the stock, forex or futures market.

Day trading stocks in the US requires an account balance of at least $25,000. No legal minimum exists to swing trade stocks, although a swing trader will likely want to have at least $10,000 in their account, and preferably $20,000 if looking to draw an income from trading.

To day trade the forex market, no legal minimum exists, but it is recommended that traders start with at least $500, but preferably $1,000 or more. To swing trade forex, the minimum recommended is about $1,500, but preferably more. This amount of capital will allow you to enter at least a few trades at one time.


To day trade futures, start with at least $5,000 to $7,500, and more capital would be even better. These amounts depend on the futures contract being traded. Day trading some contracts could require much more capital, while a few contracts, such as micro contracts, may require less.

To swing trade a variety of futures contracts, you need at least $10,000, and likely $20,000 or more. The amount needed depends on the margin requirements of the specific contract being traded.

Trading Times Differ
Both day trading and swing trading require time, but day trading typically takes up much more time. Day traders usually trade for at least two hours per day. Adding on preparation time and chart/trading review means spending at least three to four hours at the computer, at a minimum. If a day trader opts to trade for more than a couple hours a day, the time investment goes up considerably and it becomes a full-time job.

Swing trading, on the other hand, can take much less time. For example, if you're swing trading off a daily chart, you could find new trades and update orders on current positions in about 45 minutes a night. These activities may not even be required on a nightly basis.


Some swing traders, taking trades that last weeks or months, may only need to look for trades and update orders once a week, bringing the time commitment down to about an hour per week instead of per night, or updating orders may not even be required on a nightly basis. 

You must also do day trading while a market is open and active. The most effective hours for day trading are limited to certain periods of the day. If you can't day trade during those hours, then choose swing trading as a better option. Swing traders can look for trades or place orders at any time of day, even after the market has closed.

Swing traders are less affected by the second-to-second changes in the price of an asset. They focus on the bigger picture, typically looking at daily charts, so placing trades after the market closes on a particular day works just fine. Day traders make money off second-by-second movements, so they need to be involved while the action is happening.

Focus, Time and Practice
Swing trading and day trading both require a good deal of work and knowledge to generate profits consistently, although the knowledge required isn't necessarily "book smarts." Successful trading results from finding a strategy that produces an edge, or a profit over a significant number of trades, and then executing that strategy over and over again.

Some knowledge on the market being traded and one profitable strategy can start generating income, along with lots and lots of practice. Each day prices move differently than they did on the last, which means the trader needs to be able to implement his strategy under various conditions and adapt as conditions change.

This presents a difficult challenge, and consistent results only come from practicing a strategy under loads of different market scenarios. That takes time and should involve making hundreds of trades in a demo account before risking real capital.

Choosing day trading or swing trading also comes down to personality. Day trading typically involves more stress, requires sustained focus for extended periods of time and takes incredible discipline. People that like action, have fast reflexes, and/or like video games and poker tend to gravitate toward day trading.

Swing trading happens at a slower pace, with much longer lapses between actions like entering or exiting trades. It can still be high stress, and also requires immense discipline and patience.

It doesn't require as much sustained focus, so if you have difficulty staying focused, swing trading may be the better option. Fast reflexes don't matter in swing trading as trades can be taken after the market closes and prices have stopped moving.

Day trading and swing trading both offer freedom in the sense that a trader is his own boss. Traders typically work on their own and responsible for funding their accounts and for all losses and profits generated. One can argue that swing traders have more freedom in terms of time because swing trading takes up less time than day trading.

A Final Comparison
One trading style isn't better than the other; they just suit differing needs. Day trading has more profit potential, at least in percentage terms on smaller-sized trading accounts. Swing traders have a better chance of maintaining their percentage returns even as their account grows, up to a certain point.

Capital requirements vary quite a bit across the different markets and trading styles. Day trading requires more time than swing trading, while both take a great deal of practice to gain consistency. Day trading makes the best option for the action lovers. Those seeking a lower-stress and less time-intensive option can embrace swing trading.

By Cory Mitchell


Tuesday, 2 July 2019

Traders Tuesday!

This is a great video on developing your own trading strategies. Trading strategies can be based on indicators with a strict set of rules, or newer strategies such as mechanical strategies, which take human interpretation out of trading. 

Later this week I’ll be sharing my personal excel sheet that I use for backtesting and to record live trades (which a short webinar on how to use it). Safe trading!


Monday, 17 June 2019

See one, do one, teach one......

Surgery is an apprenticeship, that automatically enrolls you into a 'mentoring scheme'. The age old medical adage... see one, do one, teach one drills down what is truly important in leaning any new skill. Learning a new skill this way, seems logical and efficient, saving hours of painstaking moments trying to find what you are supposed to be learning.

Don't get me wrong apprenticeships still require a lot of hard work, but they are more focussed work with the aim of achieving measurable results at an accelerated pace. 

With this is in mind, I have applied the same ethos to learning trading myself and teaching others. Bob and his team at 1000 pip builder, allow you to effectively 'watch them on the trading floor'. They achieve this by sending you signals of trades they are places, and not simply I'm placing this trade, have a go too. Bob and his team give you exact figures - stop loss, entry price and target. Nothing is left for you to guess, they walk you through the operation. 

I have been through several trading mentoring schemes myself, and not all deliver the results the promise. I am grateful to have found 1000 pip builder, as they have definitely made a refreshing change.


To find out more take a look at 1000 pip builder

Sunday, 2 December 2018

If you can learn to read.....you can learn to trade


Curtis Carroll is a 35-year-old resident of San Quentin prison. In 1996, when he was 17, he was involved in a robbery that led to a man’s death. He was accused of being the shooter. Three years later, he was convicted of murder and given a 54 years-to-life jail sentence.

He says he entered the prison system an illiterate. Today, other inmates call him “Wall Street” because of his interest in the stock market, an interest born of a very basic desire to make money. (As a teenager, he was a petty thief and graduated to more serious crime.) One day, it dawned on him to learn how to read in order to make money in the stock market. In 2012, he was transferred to San Quentin, which has a robust education program. Marketwatch visited him in prison to talk about his journey to becoming the “Oracle of San Quentin,” a play on Warren Buffet’s nickname. Buffet is, of course, one of Carroll’s idols.
Today he’s a teacher in the program, passing along personal finance tips, “what he calls ‘the timeless rules of personal finance,’ which are: saving to build a nest egg and create an in-case-of-emergency fund; controlling costs by not allowing monthly expenses to exceed monthly after-tax income; not borrowing money you can’t repay; and diversifying your assets.”
But he’s also been successful with his choices. His stock picks are posted on the wall in the prison so everyone can see he’s not a fraud. Writes Marketwatch, “The picks on the wall include Zynga, Bank of America  and Facebook, which Carroll says he bought in December of 2012. What the three stocks had in common at the time: Each was getting substantial bad press—most notably Facebook, thanks to investor malaise after its disappointingly muddled IPO. Those stocks are up 20%, 47% and 134%, respectively, since December 14, 2012; over that same stretch the S&P 500 is up 39%.”

The site notes that most people in prison don’t have access to the brokers and advisors in the outside world to trade in stocks, so Carroll’s situation is unusual. Moreover, 84 percent of people entering the prison system are making less than $2,000 a month, so buying stocks aren’t usually part of their budget.
But this sort of financial literacy is something that everyone, in and out of jail, can stand behind. Though Carroll may spend the rest of his days in prison, some of the inmates that he’s teaching through the prison program say they plan on taking the lessons learned back to the outside world with him.

Monday, 19 November 2018

Weekly FX insights

This week we’ll begin with our monthly and weekly forecasts of the currency pairs worth watching. The first part of our forecast is based upon our research of the past 16 years of Forex prices, which show that the following methodologies have all produced profitable results:
  • Trading the two currencies that are trending the most strongly over the past 3 months.
  • Assuming that trends are usually ready to reverse after 12 months.
  • Trading against very strong counter-trend movements by currency pairs made during the previous week.
  • Buying currencies with high interest rates and selling currencies with low interest rates.
Let’s take a look at the relevant data of currency price changes and interest rates to date, which we compiled using a trade-weighted index of the major global currencies:
TABLE01

Monthly Forecast November 2018

For the month of November, we forecasted that the best trade would be short EUR/USD. The performance to date is as follows:
TABLE02

Weekly Forecast 18th November 2018 

Last week, we made no forecast as there was no strong counter-trend moves.
This week, we again make no weekly forecast.
Less than 44% of the important currency pairs or crosses moved by more than 1% in value over the past week. This volatility is increasing, but we expect it is likely to decrease again the coming week.
This week has been dominated by relative strength in the New Zealand Dollar, and relative weakness in the British Pound.
You can trade our forecasts in a real or demo Forex brokerage account.

Key Support/Resistance Levels for Popular Pairs

We teach that trades should be entered and exited at or very close to key support and resistance levels. There are certain key support and resistance levels that should be watched on the more popular currency pairs this week, which might result in either reversals or breakouts:
TABLE12

AUD/USD

Let’s see how trading two of these key pairs last week off key support and resistance levels could have worked out:
We had expected the level at 0.7165 might act as support, as it had acted previously as both support and resistance. Note how these “flipping” levels can work well. The H1 chart below shows the how the price rejected this level right at the Tokyo open last Tuesday, marked by the up arrow in the price chart below, forming a bullish pin candlestick which broke up right away. This is often a great time of day to enter trades involving Asian currencies such as the Australian Dollar, and such candlesticks are often useful indicators of reversals when their wicks or the wick of the structure rejects key levels. This trade was been profitable so far, achieving a maximum positive reward to risk ratio of slightly less than 10 to 1.
AUDUSD

USD/CHF

We had expected the level at 1.0110 might act as resistance, as it had acted previously as both support and resistance. Note how these “flipping” levels can work well. The H1 chart below shows the how the price rejected this level early in the London session last Tuesday, marked by the down arrow in the price chart below, forming a bearish pin candlestick which broke down right away. This is often a great time of day to enter trades involving European currencies such as the Swiss Franc, and such candlesticks are often useful indicators of reversals when their wicks or the wick of the structure rejects key levels. This trade was been profitable so far, achieving a maximum positive reward to risk ratio so far of a little more than 5 to 1.

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